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The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)The yield of 2/10-year US Treasury bonds rose by more than 2 basis points. In late new york on Tuesday (December 10th), the yield of US 10-year benchmark treasury bonds rose by 2.32 basis points to 4.2244%, and the intraday trading was in the range of 4.1818%-4.2438%. The yield of two-year US bonds rose by 2.48 basis points to 4.1430%, and intraday trading ranged from 4.1099% to 4.1680%. The yield spread of three-month Treasury bonds /10-year US bonds rose by 3.624 basis points to -16.951 basis points. The yield spread of US bonds in 2002/10 was roughly flat, at +7.546 basis points. The yield of US 10-year inflation-protected treasury bonds (TIPS) fell by 0.90 basis points to 1.9233%.The three major US stock indexes collectively closed down, Google rose more than 5%, and the three major US stock indexes collectively closed down, with the Dow down 0.35%, the Nasdaq down 0.25%, and the S&P 500 index down 0.30%. Chinese stocks fell collectively, with the China ETF falling nearly 13% when it tripled its wealth, and the Nasdaq China Jinlong Index falling more than 4%. Chip stocks generally fell, Micron Technology fell nearly 5%, Broadcom and TSMC fell nearly 4%, Intel fell more than 3%, and NVIDIA and Qualcomm fell nearly 3%. Oracle Bone Inscriptions fell by 6.68%, and its revenue in the second quarter and performance guidance in this quarter fell short of expectations. Google rose by 5.59%, and the company launched the latest quantum chip "Willow" to achieve a major technological breakthrough.

White sugar futures fell by about 3%, Arabica coffee rose by over 4.5%, and new york cocoa rose by about 6%, which continued to hit a record high. In late new york on Tuesday (December 10th), ICE raw sugar futures fell by 2.00% and ICE white sugar futures fell by 2.97%. ICE Arabica coffee futures rose 4.53% to 347.35 cents/pound; Coffee "C" futures rose 0.26% to 334.05 cents, having risen to 348.35 cents at 19:52 Beijing time. Robusta coffee futures rose 0.35% to 5218, and rose to 5510 at 17:25. New york cocoa futures rose 5.99% to $10,685/ton, continuing to hit a record high. London cocoa futures rose 4.00% to 8420,00: 01, and also rose to 8471 to continue to hit a record high. ICE cotton futures fell 0.66% to 69.49 cents. When the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) released the monthly inventory report, the refresh date was as low as 69.25 cents at 01:00.The yield of 2/10-year US Treasury bonds rose by more than 2 basis points. In late new york on Tuesday (December 10th), the yield of US 10-year benchmark treasury bonds rose by 2.32 basis points to 4.2244%, and the intraday trading was in the range of 4.1818%-4.2438%. The yield of two-year US bonds rose by 2.48 basis points to 4.1430%, and intraday trading ranged from 4.1099% to 4.1680%. The yield spread of three-month Treasury bonds /10-year US bonds rose by 3.624 basis points to -16.951 basis points. The yield spread of US bonds in 2002/10 was roughly flat, at +7.546 basis points. The yield of US 10-year inflation-protected treasury bonds (TIPS) fell by 0.90 basis points to 1.9233%.According to the Korean Chosun Ilbo, a pro-Yin Xiyue official said that the president has made up his mind to face the constitutional hearing with impeachment, instead of resigning early.

CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.Non-performing loan intermediaries have drawn a clear line between banks to prevent "endorsement". Recently, many banks have issued statements to "clear the relationship" with loan intermediaries. On December 9 alone, many banks, such as Taiyuan Rural Commercial Bank, Chifeng Yuanbaoshan Rural Commercial Bank and Xintian Rural Bank of Xinjiang County, issued statements that they had not cooperated with any intermediary in loan business. The insiders believe that at present, when banks are preparing for a "good start" in the coming year, some banks' grass-roots institutions or account managers privately increase cooperation with loan intermediaries in order to achieve performance indicators. Formal loan intermediaries help banks get customers and live customers, but non-performing loan intermediaries are mixed in the market, and their non-compliance practices make consumer complaints frequent and bring reputation risks to banks. (CSI)Game Station (GME) US stocks rose 5.8% after hours.